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FIXnotes

Banks with the steepest multi-quarter rise in 1-4 family — junior lien charge-offs

Banks whose category-specific charge-off rate is rising fastest over the trailing two years, measured by linear-regression slope of the year-to-date charge-off ratio. Acceleration in charge-offs is a leading indicator of credit-portfolio deterioration that typically precedes nonperforming-loan ratio spikes by one to three quarters.

Q4 202550 institutions
In Q4 2025, 50 institutions reported 1-4 family — junior lien charge-offs. FIRST CAPITAL BANK in TX led the category at 246.5%, increasing +20.3 per quarter, while PROSPECT BANK and PONCE BANK posted 20.8% and 27.9% respectively.
Charge-Off Velocity by Category
Sorted by Charge-Off Trend
Export CSV (Mastermind)
RankInstitutionSourceStateCharge-Off TrendTrend
1FIRST CAPITAL BANKBANKTX+20.3
2PROSPECT BANKBANKIL+4.3
3PONCE BANKBANKNY+3.8
4CHEYENNE STATE BANKBANKWY+3.1
5BANK OF WESTERN OKLAHOMABANKOK+2.7
6GATEWAY BANKBANKAR+1.8
7COMMUNITY BANK DELAWAREBANKDE+1.8
8AMERICAN BANK&TRUST COBANKLA+1.4
9PRIORITYONE BANKBANKMS+1.4
10COMMERCIAL BANKBANKMS+1.4
40 more institutions match this list. Unlock metric values for every row and column sort with Foundation.
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RankInstitutionSourceStateCharge-Off TrendTrend
11AXIOM BANK NATIONAL ASSNBANKFL████████
12MVB BANK INCBANKWV████████
13SUPERIOR NATIONAL BANKBANKMI████████
14FARMERS STATE BANK&TRUST COBANKIL████████
15TEXANA BANK NATIONAL ASSNBANKTX████████
16FIRST PRYORITY BANKBANKOK████████
17FORTIS PRIVATE BANKBANKCO████████
18ALLY BANKBANKUT████████
19ROBERTSON BANKING COBANKAL████████
20BANK OF ST FRANCISVILLEBANKLA████████
21FIRST BANK OF BERNEBANKIN████████
22CITIZENS BANK&TRUST COBANKAR████████
23INBANKBANKNM████████
24BANK OF COUSHATTABANKLA████████
25FIRST WESTROADS BANK INCBANKNE████████
26TBK BANK SSBBANKTX████████
27PEOPLES COMMUNITY BANKBANKMO████████
28FIRST NB OF MILACABANKMN████████
29FINANCIAL FEDERAL BANKBANKTN████████
30EAGLEBANKBANKMD████████
31FIRST STATE BANK OF BLAKELYBANKGA████████
32EAST WEST BANKBANKCA████████
33IDABEL NATIONAL BANKBANKOK████████
34CITIZENS NATIONAL BANK N ABANKLA████████
35BLUE RIDGE BANK NABANKVA████████
36CITY NATIONAL BANKBANKCA████████
37PATRIOTS BANKBANKKS████████
38CITIZENS BANK OF SWAINSBOROBANKGA████████
39BUSEY BANKBANKIL████████
40NEWTOWN SAVINGS BANKBANKCT████████
41UNION SAVINGS BANKBANKCT████████
42PEOPLES BANKBANKWA████████
43FIRST STATE B&T CO INCBANKMO████████
44FIRST SECURITY BANKBANKMN████████
45THREE RIVERS BANK OF MONTANABANKMT████████
46GULF COAST BANK&TRUST COBANKLA████████
47ENTERPRISE BANK&TRUSTBANKMO████████
48BANK OF ENGLANDBANKAR████████
49POPULAR BANKBANKNY████████
50SPIRITBANKBANKOK████████

Methodology

This card ranks banks whose trailing two-year trend slope of category-specific year-to-date charge-off ratio meets or exceeds 0.001 per quarter (approximately 0.4 percentage points per year of rising charge-off velocity). The ratio is computed inline as charge_off_volume_ytd divided by loan_balance per (institution, quarter, category). The slope is then computed via Postgres regr_slope() over up to eight quarter-end observations within the trailing two-year window (t in quarter units; y = decimal charge-off ratio). Banks with fewer than two observations are excluded by regr_slope null-handling. Field sources: FFIEC Call Report Schedule RI-B Part I per-category charge-off codes (RIAD4635 family at the institution-total level; RIADC234, RIADC235, RIAD5411, RIAD3588, RIADC895, RIADC897, RIADC891, RIADC893, RIAD4638, RIADB514 / RIADK129 / RIADK205 for individual leaves; all pinned in lib/call-report/cdr-fields.js). Per-category charge-off volume is stored in call_report_metrics_by_category.charge_off_volume_ytd with source='fdic_cdr'; loan_balance in the same row provides the denominator. Acceleration in charge-offs typically precedes nonperforming-loan ratio spikes by one to three quarters; this card surfaces the leading-edge signal. Categories below ten qualifying banks per quarter render no landing (compute-cards skips snapshot generation; route returns 404 per spec § Empty-category filter).

Learn more about CO Velocity