Skip to content
FIXnotes

← Back to latest

Banks with the steepest multi-quarter rise in 1-4 family — 1st lien charge-offs

Banks whose category-specific charge-off rate is rising fastest over the trailing two years, measured by linear-regression slope of the year-to-date charge-off ratio. Acceleration in charge-offs is a leading indicator of credit-portfolio deterioration that typically precedes nonperforming-loan ratio spikes by one to three quarters.

Q1 202618 institutions (archived snapshot)
In Q1 2026, charge-off velocity for 1-4 family — 1st lien mortgages among 18 tracked institutions showed COLONIAL SAVINGS FA (TX) recording the steepest quarterly increase at +55.1, while INFINITY BANK (CA) and SCRIBNER BANK (NE) posted more modest rises of +1.1 and +0.8 respectively.
Charge-Off Velocity by Category
Sorted by Charge-Off Trend
Export CSV (Mastermind)
RankInstitutionSourceStateCharge-Off TrendTrend
1COLONIAL SAVINGS FABANKTX+55.1
2INFINITY BANKBANKCA+1.1
3SCRIBNER BANKBANKNE+0.8
4STATE BANK OF TEXASBANKTX+0.5
5LITTLE HORN STATE BANKBANKMT+0.4
6FIRSTIER BANKBANKNE+0.3
7LAMONT BANK OF ST JOHNBANKWA+0.3
8AXIOM BANK NATIONAL ASSNBANKFL+0.3
9PRODUCER BANK OF TEXASBANKTX+0.3
10WESTERN NATIONAL BANKBANKMN+0.2
8 more institutions match this list. Unlock metric values for every row, column sort, archives, and CSV export with Mastermind.
Unlock with Mastermind
See 8 more →
RankInstitutionSourceStateCharge-Off TrendTrend
11FIRST STATE BANK IN TEMPLEBANKOK████████
12INTERNATIONAL BK OF COMBANKTX████████
13BANK PLUSBANKIA████████
14STATE BANK OF NAUVOOBANKIL████████
15NATIONAL CAPITAL BANK OF WABANKDC████████
16PINNACLE BANK INCBANKKY████████
17ACB BANKBANKOK████████
18VERMILION BANK&TRUST COBANKLA████████

Methodology

This card ranks banks whose trailing two-year trend slope of category-specific year-to-date charge-off ratio meets or exceeds 0.001 per quarter (approximately 0.4 percentage points per year of rising charge-off velocity). The ratio is computed inline as charge_off_volume_ytd divided by loan_balance per (institution, quarter, category). The slope is then computed via Postgres regr_slope() over up to eight quarter-end observations within the trailing two-year window (t in quarter units; y = decimal charge-off ratio). Banks with fewer than two observations are excluded by regr_slope null-handling. Field sources: FFIEC Call Report Schedule RI-B Part I per-category charge-off codes (RIAD4635 family at the institution-total level; RIADC234, RIADC235, RIAD5411, RIAD3588, RIADC895, RIADC897, RIADC891, RIADC893, RIAD4638, RIADB514 / RIADK129 / RIADK205 for individual leaves; all pinned in lib/call-report/cdr-fields.js). Per-category charge-off volume is stored in call_report_metrics_by_category.charge_off_volume_ytd with source='fdic_cdr'; loan_balance in the same row provides the denominator. Acceleration in charge-offs typically precedes nonperforming-loan ratio spikes by one to three quarters; this card surfaces the leading-edge signal. Categories below ten qualifying banks per quarter render no landing (compute-cards skips snapshot generation; route returns 404 per spec § Empty-category filter).

Learn more about CO Velocity